The Prophecy of Orson Welles: Which City Will Be the First Zero-Daily Metropolis?

Yesterday's New York Times featured this story contemplating the very real possibility that there could soon be a major American city with no daily print newspaper. Richard Pérez-Peña discusses the imminent demise of The Seattle Post-Intelligencer's print edition (scheduled to cease next week). The Hearst Corporation, which owns the Post-Intelligencer, has also threatened to close The San Francisco Chronicle, which lost more than $1 million a week last year.

The Hearst Corporation...founded by William Randolph Hearst...upon whom the title character of Citizen Kane is not so loosely based. Hmmm. (Cue Twilight Zone music, play video above.)

OK, so instead of a million dollars a year, the Chronicle is losing a million dollars a week. But the "60 years" thing is pretty damn close, considering the film was made in 1941. It's kind of spooky, in a film-nerd/journalist kind of way. (Especially spooky if you earn your living in the world of journalism. Fortunately for me, I...wait a second...d'oh!)

Anyway, it's got me thinking. How will papers survive? For all of their (our?) faults, if there's no regular public forum to keep the powers that be in check, isn't that a recipe for disaster? The end of civilization as we know it? Will I have to get my crossword puzzles from those books they sell at the airport?

Seriously (and as someone who admittedly has a dog in the hunt), how will papers survive? Particularly dailies? As much as I care about alt-weeklies, and as much as we like to harass Gannett, does anyone look forward to a Nashville with no daily paper?

And if papers go to an online model, will advertising revenue alone provide a workable business model? If papers can no longer afford to offer their online content for free, would you, the reader, be willing to pay? And in what manner? A flat rate for a yearly subscription? A pay-as-you-go scenario--say, hypothetically, a per-story charge of maybe 10 cents, kind of an iTunes model?

And since you obviously like to read news and commentary online, do you still pick up a print paper? Do you enjoy the tactile experience of sitting down with the Sunday Times, or your rag of choice? Would you miss it if it were no longer available?

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